Aviation Intelligence Reporter – November 2016
ATM Reform: Cui Bono?
Drones: Manned Industry Afraid of No Longer Being Queen Bee
What Might Have Been: Market-Based Measures and the Art of the Acronym
All Quiet on the Privatisation Front
Talkin Bout My Generation…
Biz-Av and the Dawn of Democracy
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ATM Reform: Cui Bono?
Two years ago, the CEO of Ryanair, Michael O’Leary, stood in front of the world’s ANSP community at a CANSO AGM and asked a very simple question. ‘Why can’t I go to DFS [the German ANSP] and say ‘I’m Ryanair. This is all my flying. Control me’?’ It is a great question, but apart from that one stray warp in the time-space continuum, it is a question airlines have never asked of ANSPs, before or since. Why ever not?
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Drones: Manned Industry Afraid of No Longer Being Queen Bee
Not content to submit a barely comprehensible paper to the ICAO Assembly claiming drones are certain to cause a major incident any moment now, the manned industry elected IATA to double down on that incoherence when presenting it during the ICAO Technical Committee meeting at the Assembly in early October. The nicest thing you can say about the presentation was that it cleaved to the spirit of the paper.
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What Might Have Been: Market-Based Measures and the Art of the Acronym
To the shock of absolutely no-one, the ICAO General Assembly finally agreed an airline-specific solution to the accusation of doing nothing on climate change. Not to do anything mind, not to cut emissions, nor to do anything to help States meet the target agreed in Paris of holding global warming to less than 2°. But a gesture, nonetheless; cake thrown to the peasants from the walls of the ICAO battlements.
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All Quiet on the Privatisation Front
Once, you could bank on the privatisation of an airline being a big deal. Industry magazines would talk about it for months. Analysts, often freshly minted, would be summonsed from behind a bank somewhere to opine. Something similar happened when the first airports were floated. So the recent partial listing of ENAV, the Italian ANSP, on the Milanese market is rather curious. It was very popular with investors – it was oversubscribed by a factor of eight – but you would have to look very hard for the sort of coverage the early airline and airport floats received. For the trade press it was nothing more than a little local disturbance of limited significance.
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Talkin Bout My Generation…
This year’s ATCA conference and exhibition, held just outside Washington DC last month, was subdued. There was a general sense that the current round of up-grade was nearing deployment. The FAA, the major potential purchaser, has a full shopping trolley so there was not a lot of business to be written. Instead, conversation turned to what we might call the next phase in this continuous up-grade to the ATM system.
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Biz-Av and the Dawn of Democracy
The business aviation industry has had a wretched few years, with innumerable false dawns of a cyclical recovery in demand. Any such optimism this year was quickly dissipated as new aircraft deliveries slumped in the wake of uncertainty from ever choppier economic waters. There is now a fairly strong consensus that fewer new business jets will enter the market in 2017 than in any previous year of the recession. But whilst the big picture is bleak, two or three developments in the last few weeks could join up to suggest the market can find new ways to grow in the future.
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