Aviation Intelligence Reporter – November 2015


The New European Aviation Policy: Waiting for Godot
European Trade Association Musical Chairs: And Then There Will Be One
LPF: WTF?
Just Culture: Unjust Outcomes
Bombardier: Annus Horribilis?
Identifying a Drone in a Haystack


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The New European Aviation Policy: Waiting for Godot

The aviation industry has decided that the 21th century needs an updated version of Waiting for Godot, sometimes called the most significant play of the 20th century. It has unilaterally launched a gonzo, pop-up production across the continent. The industry, sharing the roles of Vladamir and Estragon, parade their illnesses, insecurities and paranoias whilst uncomfortably but fatalistically sitting together, waiting for their colleague Godot, who – spoiler alert – never shows up. Still they sit, fatalistically waiting.

European Trade Association Musical Chairs: And Then There Will Be One

Whilst the long Godot-ian wait for a new aviation policy without which airlines cannot possibly be expected to actually do anything on their own initiative continues, the recent, possibly final, AEA annual meeting was also quite theatrical. But whether Beckett was the best analogy is debatable. There was too much not said for Beckett; too much was only legible between the lines. Pinter might be the best comparison.

LPF: WTF?

Early November will see the final of the rugby world cup, and whichever team wins, complaints about poor refereeing decisions are likely to continue long after the hangovers wear off. Indeed what is a major sporting tournament without bitter memories for some of perceived poor refereeing? Ha! They have nothing on the airlines, which went into the semi-finals of the Hard Done By Stakes without dropping a set. If you ask the airlines they will tell you. The problem the airlines face is worse than poor umpires. The airlines suffer from a non-level playing field.

Just Culture: Unjust Outcomes

By Margriet Bredewold, CEO Co-Guard GmbH – Aviation safety systems expert
Safety management system-based operations are being introduced across aviation. Consequently, the discussion about Just Culture is increasingly relevant. The European Commission, EASA and various trade associations have taken up the concept and are making a serious attempt to oblige operators, maintenance organisations and ground handlers to adopt a ‘Just Culture approach’.

Bombardier: Annus Horribilis?

It has not been the best of years for the business aviation industry. Those were back almost 10 years ago, when annual business jet deliveries of 1,000 or more were familiar. New business jet deliveries, orders, and activity, collapsed after 2008. But specifically, it was the lighter jet end of the market which collapsed. The large cabin specialists, Bombardier and Gulfstream in particular, continued to do pretty well. In the last year the story has changed, particularly for Bombardier. Events in the last few months could see 2015 go down as its Annus Horribilis.

Identifying a Drone in a Haystack

There has been much media coverage of a few isolated incidents involving drones recently. There has been no serious attempt to put those incidents in context, or to find accurate ways to calculate what the absolute number means in relative terms, or what the nature of the incident was, or the actual risk it represented, but hey! Why let the facts divert your story?